With all the talk about sanctions, everyone seems to be missing one critical one. One that must be talked about. Absolutely has to be discussed. Without any doubt. There is a real risk that APNU’s outrageous and barefaced conduct exposes Guyana to Western military intervention. It is hard to ignore the West’s foreign policy history of military intervention where its oil interests are jeopardized. Right now, APNU is jeopardizing the West’s oil interests.
But it gets worse. APNU has been playing a dangerous game of geopolitical posturing since the election when the West rejected its barefaced thievery. It has been openly rejecting the West on geopolitical and geostrategic fronts to telegraph to Russia and China its need for their support to try to hold onto power. Despite its Lima Group statement, APNU rejected Western-backed Guiado a number of times since the election and in doing so has tacitly endorsed Maduro. That is a compelling signal to Russia and China, which back Maduro even in the face of recent escalating US efforts against Maduro.
APNU tongue lashed the US after the US summoned its ambassador to warn APNU of dire consequences for an illegal government. Then in clowning glory, Moses Nagamootoo suggested the West is trying to rob APNU of power when even an unborn child knows APNU lost the election. These signals are unequivocal in what APNU is trying to convey to Russia and China at grave risk to Guyana’s very survival.
The West has been adamant in its rejection of APNU. Just recently, the US ambassador to Guyana made that clear in a public statement. It is but one of many pronouncements from powerful US voices warning this illegal regime. The US is very concerned about growing Russian and Chinese geopolitical and geostrategic influence in the region spanning outward from Venezuela. Last week, the US announced it is massively doubling its military presence in the region and will send Navy ships closer to Venezuela. That puts Guyana in that sphere. This is arguably the news that Guyana should pay the most attention to!
This is why Guyana under an illegitimate APNU administration is at such a huge risk. With Suriname’s strongman (Bouterse) also in anti-West mode, there is palpable fear in Western capitals that almost the entire northern oil-rich face of South America could fall under Russian and Chinese geopolitical and geostrategic control. That is a significant loss of influence and geostrategic power in America’s backyard and an increase of military risk to the US. Throw in Guyana being a very soft target and Trump’s willingness to wag the dog in the midst of tattered re-election chances due to COVID-19, we must discuss this other kind of sanctions; military ones.
Pushing aside the post-electoral garbage emanating from Nagamootoo, he did say something that must be given attention. Nagamootoo said the West is impatient and it is threatening an undeclared war of terror. We must pay attention to this even if the hard-headed APNU charlatans don’t. Nagamootoo admitted APNU has been warned about the frightening power of American military might. Yet APNU continues this madness. The GECOM about-face was a con game to buy time. GECOM is an APNU-controlled entity and it has no intention of doing a full monitored recount. The constant court cases are yet another time-buying exercise.
Why in the face of such towering consequences is APNU continuing this lunacy? The answer is simple: APNU is desperately trying to get Russia and China on its side. Time is the only asset it has to engineer such an alliance. With US destroyers now patrolling just offshore, APNU may have run out of time. The US will not allow another Venezuela in the region. APNU wants another Venezuela in Guyana. Houston, we definitely have a problem here. There are sanctions and then there are sanctions. APNU is definitely inviting the shock and awe of the latter if it continues to play this one badly.
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